Five-state assembly elections: What poll of exit polls shows

Five-state assembly elections: What poll of exit polls shows


The Congress will likely unseat the BJP from power in Rajasthan while remaining locked in a close fight with the saffron party in Madhya Pradesh, a poll of five major exit polls showed.

The Chhattisgarh election, on the other hand, may lead to a hung assembly with an advantage to the BJP, the poll of polls showed. In Telangana, the TRS was predicted to retain power while two exit polls showed the Mizo National Front, a BJP coalition partner, unseating the Congress from power in Mizoram.

The exit polls today came after voting ended in Rajasthan and Telangana, the last of the five states that went to the polls in this batch of elections.

The five-state assembly elections are being seen as a semi-final to next year’s Lok Sabha election. The election results will be out on December 11.

ALSO READ | Exit poll: Congress surges in MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan as BJP fortunes flag. KCR holds fort

The exit polls today, offer a glimpse into what may happen on the counting day. Here is what a poll of exit polls showed.

MADHYA PRADESH EXIT POLL

The Madhya Pradesh election contest is likely to go down to the wire. Literally down to the wire. An average of five exit polls predicted that the Congress would win 110 seats while the BJP would win 109.

The BJP has been in power in Madhya Pradesh for 15 years and it seems that the anti-incumbency wave has hit home in this assembly election.

What different exit polls predicted for Madhya Pradesh. (Photo: India Today)

RAJASTHAN EXIT POLL

If the exit poll results hold true, then Rajasthan looks set to continue a recent tradition of alternating governments every five years.

An average of five exit poll put the Congress at 113 constituencies in the 200-seat Rajasthan assembly. The BJP, currently in power, was predicted to win 77 seats.

What different exit polls predicted for Rajasthan. (Photo: India Today)

CHHATTISGARH

The Congress will wrest Chhattisgarh from the BJP, which has been in power in the state for 15 years, if the exit poll trends hold true on counting day.

The Congress is predicted to win 46 seats — exactly the majority mark — in Chhattisgarh, according to an average of five exit polls. The BJP, on the other hand, is predicted to win 41.

Meanwhile, the alliance of Ajit Jogi’s Janata Congress and Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party is predicted to win six seats.

What different exit polls predicted for Chhattisgarh. (Photo: India Today)

TELANGANA

K Chandrashekar Rao will remain the chief minister of Telangana, exit polls predict. Rao’s Telangana Rashtra Samithi is predicted to win 66 seats, six more than the halfway mark, according to an average of four exit polls.

The alliance of Congress and Telegu Desam Party is predicted to win 46 seats. The BJP, which is looking to increase its presence in Telangana, will be unable to win more seats than it currently has, the exit polls suggest. An average of four exit polls has the BJP winning five seats.

What different exit polls predicted for Telangana. (Photo: India Today)

MIZORAM

The Congress is losing its only state in the Northeast, if the exit poll’s prediction holds true.

The Mizo National Front, which is part of the BJP-led Northeast Democratic Alliance, is predicted to be the closest to forming government in the state.

An average of two exit polls has the MNF winning 19 seats in the 40-seat Mizoram assembly. The Congress, which is currently in power, is predicted to win 13 seats.

What different exit polls predicted for Mizoram. (Photo: India Today)

So, apart from Mizoram, the Congress seems to be making significant gains after four years of constant loses in various assembly elections.

Will the exit poll predictions hold true on December 11, the counting day? Join IndiaToday.in on that day to find out more. We will be covering the results live from 6am onwards.

ALSO WATCH | Rajasthan exit poll: Congress to get 119 to 141 seats, BJP 55 to 72

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